According to Christian Dominguez, a researcher at the Center for Atmospheric Sciences of the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), between 13 and 14 cyclones are forecast for the Eastern Pacific Ocean and less than 12 for the Atlantic.

The Mexican Pacific Hurricane season officially started today (May 15, 2019) on . Of the Eastern Pacific ocean weather events, eight are expected to be tropical storms, four are predicted to be Category 1 or 2 hurricanes and six are forecast to be hurricanes reaching an intensity of Category 3 or above.





According to the researcher, there will be more hurricanes in the Pacific than in the Atlantic due to the "El Niño" weather phenomenon, which raises sea temperatures and causes the atmospheric circulation to change.

Baja California Sur and Sinaloa will be entities with a very active influx of cyclones, believes Christian Domínguez; On November 30, the 2019 hurricane season will end.

"The tropical cyclone season for 2019 on the Atlantic side will be below average, meaning there will be fewer cyclones than there are normally, due to the El Niño phenomenon" in the Pacific, said the specialist.

The tropical cyclone season begins on May 15 in the Pacific and in the Atlantic on June 1, ending in both zones on November 30.

During last season, six tropical cyclones directly impacted the Mexican territory and four moved very close to the national coasts, generating only rain and wind.

This year, in the Pacific, where states such as Sinaloa or Baja California are, the influx of cyclones will be very active, waiting for "between 13 and 14 cyclones," Dominguez said.

On the other hand, in the Atlantic, the expert expects that less than 12 cyclones will be registered.

In the Gulf of Mexico, where states like Veracruz, Campeche, Yucatan and Tamaulipas are located, there will also be a variation in the number of cyclones, going from the three that normally impact to only one, and presumably with a tropical storm category.

Regarding the intensity, the doctor in Earth Sciences specialized in hurricanes commented that "on the Atlantic side hurricanes are going to be very weak", with categories 1, 2 or 3 expected on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

This scale measures the speed of the wind through the surface. At 119 kilometers per hour it is considered a hurricane.